60 Business
The Economist
September 22nd 2018
1
2
rather than inmachine learning.
Most worryingly, Mrs Merkel’s interest
notwithstanding, Germany does not seem
ready to get fully behind
AI
and to teamup
with its Europeanneighbours. Abig reason
for that is its existing economic strength.
Policymakers, industry leaders and re-
searchers tend to argue that Germany is al-
ready an
AI
power and that it will suffice to
inject more of the technology into the con-
tinent’s industrial products and manufac-
turing machinery. Co-operation with
France does not appear to be a priority.
Plans for a joint
AI
research centre, men-
tioned in the German government’s co-
alition agreement, have been abandoned.
To become a powerhouse in
AI
, Europe
will have to overcome its divisions, digital
and otherwise. That seems unlikely in the
current climate. But where there is a politi-
cal will, there may be a way. In the 1980s,
when Europe felt under economic threat
from Japan, Helmut Kohl and FrançoisMit-
terrand, the then German chancellor and
French president respectively, pushed
through an
EU
-wide wireless standard,
which came to be called 2
G
and helped Eu-
rope dominate themobile-phone industry
for decades. To be sure,
AI
is a much more
complex beast than a wireless standard.
But it showswhat may be possible.
7
I
N THE 20th century people could be-
come wealthy philanthropists by start-
ing publications. Henry Luce and his busi-
ness partners raised $86,000 to start
Time
magazine in 1923, but he left a fortune of
more than $100m when he died in 1967.
These days, wealthy philanthropists be-
come press barons by rescuing publica-
tions likeMr Luce’s brainchild.
On September 16th Marc Benioff, a co-
founder of
Salesforce.com, a cloud-soft-
ware company, and his wife, Lynne Be-
nioff, purchased
Time
for $190m. They are
the latest in a series of tech billionaires to
invest in print journalism, following Jeff
Bezos, the boss of Amazon, who bought
the
Washington Post
in 2013, and Laurene
Powell Jobs, widow of Steve, Apple’s co-
founder, who took a majority stake in the
Atlantic
last year. Each has avowed a civic
interest in supporting journalism, not
meddling in it.
Time
has grappledwithfinancial uncer-
tainty for over a decade. In 2014 TimeWar-
ner, its parent, spun it off, along with other
titles including
Fortune
,
People
and
Sports
Illustrated
, into an entity called Time Inc,
raising fears that the magazines would lan-
guish as unloved corporate orphans. Last
year, to cut costs,
Time
reduced its print cir-
culation from3m, announcinganewtarget
of 2m. In January this year Meredith, an
American media company, bought Time
Inc for $1.8bn, and assumed another $1bn
in debt. That deal was backed by Charles
and David Koch, billionaire brothers who
are active in Republican politics, prompt-
ing ill-founded fears of a conservative take-
over of the newsweekly.
What
Time
needs fromits latest owners,
besides their largesse, is a vision that can
sustain it as a business. Many newspapers
and magazines have folded in the past de-
cade, some of them prominent names
with long histories—the
Village Voice
, a
newspaper in New York, shuttered in Au-
gust. Media-watchers argue that the fame
of the
Time
brand should enable it to sur-
vive, but thus far it has done so by way of
belt-tightening. It has yet to strike a rich
newvein of earnings in the digital age. The
magazine’s revenue is expected to decline
this year, according to a report in the
Wall
Street Journal
, from$173m to $158m.
Mr Benioff might be able to help. He is
hailed as a master marketer and salesman
(some call it “marc-eting”). He reportedly
wants staff at
Time
to ponder what the
publication should look like in 2040. But
even if they fail to work that out, with his
resources (about $7bn) at least
Time
should
still be around 22 years from now—which
was not something that seemed as likely
before thisweek’s news.
In themeantime, the Benioffs are taking
on some political risk. As the owner of a
prominent media property he, like Mr Be-
zos, maywell draw the ire of President Do-
nald Trump. Shareholders in Salesforce
might worry about retaliation. The Be-
nioffs declared upon purchase that they
would not be involved in the day-to-day
operations of the magazine. That may not
matter if unflattering images of the presi-
dent appear on the cover.
7
American media
The newpress
barons
NEW YORK
MarcBenioffis the latest tech
billionaire to buya famousmagazine
And for my next trick…
R
AILWAYS played an integral role in the
development ofmodern America. The
first coast-to-coast line, finished in 1869, al-
lowed the West to be settled. But after the
second world war people abandoned
trains for cars. After several rail lines went
bust, in1971Congress nationalised the rem-
nants as Amtrak to stop passenger services
from ending completely. But Amtrak has
not revived rail’s fortunes.
Brightline, a startup from Florida,
thinks it can. Instead of being greeted by
grey concrete and the whiff of urine, as at
many Amtrak stations, Brightline’s Miami
terminus looks like the lobby of a posh ho-
tel. Early this year it opened its debut line,
costing $3bn, between Miami and West
Palm Beach in Florida, America’s first new
privately-funded passenger line for over a
century. On September 18th it announced
plans to expand, starting with a new line
between Los Angeles and Las Vegas.
Wes Edens of Fortress, a private-equity
firm, is the founder of Brightline. He thinks
that the industry is ripe for a rebound. In
2007 he purchased the land (and some
tracks) that Brightline now uses, thinking
mainly of their value for moving freight.
He then saw the potential of starting pas-
senger services on them, too. Some 6m
people live near Brightline’s tracks in Flori-
da, taking 365m trips a year between Mi-
ami, Fort Lauderdale (a stop on the line)
andWest PalmBeach, nearly all by car. An-
alysts at Fitch, a credit-ratings agency, reck-
on that Brightline needs to take 0.4%of that
traffic to break even. It is also developing
tower blocks with offices for rent and sale
around and on top of itsmain stations, tak-
ing advantage of land values that have
been boosted by its rail services.
Mr Edens hopes to tap more lucrative
routes. Brightline plans to focus on those
between big cities “too far to drive, too
short to fly”, such as between Atlanta and
Charlotte, Houston and Dallas, and Chica-
go and St Louis. Several trendsmayhelp fill
the trains. The number of youngsters who
drive is falling: only 69% of 19-year-old
Americans have licences, compared with
87%
in1983.Wi-Fi means that business peo-
ple canworkon trains.
Amtrak has not managed to capitalise
on these trends. It still runs the same sort of
long-distance routes as in the early 1970s,
using tired equipment, and has lost money
every year it has existed. That is not all its
fault, says Ray Chambers of the Associa-
tion of Independent Passenger Rail Opera-
American passenger railways
Back on track
NEW YORK AND MIAMI
Brightline is behind the first new
privately-funded line for a century