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Bloomberg Businessweek

May 14, 2018

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champions restrictions on foreign ownership of

farmland and mineral deposits.

These politicians are banking that anger over

corruption, the worst recession on record, and

empty public cofers can help change voters’ atti-

tudes toward privatization. It’s not a sure bet: In a

recent survey, 7 out of 10 Brazilians opposed the

idea, led by the poorer and less educated.

“In all its history, the state always dominated eco-

nomic activity in Brazil,” says Marco Troyjo, a pro-

fessor of international afairs at Columbia University.

Brazilians pay the equivalent of almost one-third of

gross domestic product in taxes, one of the highest

shares in the world. The country ranks 153rd out

of 180 nations in the Index of Economic Freedom

compiled by the conservative Heritage Foundation.

France ranks 71st and Mexico is 63rd.

In the 1990s, Brazil sold scores of state-run busi-

nesses, including the telephone monopoly and

mining and steel companies. The sales drew much

needed investment, technology, and managerial

know-how—often to the beneit of the consumers

those companies served. Even so, left-of-center

politicians complained of sweetheart deals bene-

iting political cronies or foreign companies.

Among the poor, the stigma lingers. “It won’t

reduce corruption,” says Maria Madalena, an oice

assistant in Brasília, when asked if she supports

privatization proposals. “What it’ll do is leave even

more people unemployed.”

In Congress, support for divesting state

assets has also been lukewarm—not surprising,

considering that politicians often reward support-

ers with jobs at state-owned companies. A proposal

to privatize power utility Eletrobras, which could

fetch an estimated $3.4 billion, has been stuck

in Congress for almost four months. The federal

mint and Congonhas Airport in São Paulo are

often mentioned as potential candidates for auc-

tion. The planned June 14 tender of a management

concession for the Lotex scratch card lottery has

generated interest from several international com-

panies, the inance ministry says.

Renato Nobile, chief executive oicer of BullMark

Financial Group, is encouraged that presidential

aspirants are willing to discuss what was once

taboo. “With one or two exceptions, there are no

disaster candidates in terms of economic policy,”

he says. “Independent of who wins, there’s a bigger

chance of getting a pro-market candidate than in

previous elections.”

—Raymond Colitt, with Gabriel

Shinohara and Samy Adghirni

THE BOTTOM LINE A recent poll shows the majority of Brazilians

oppose privatization, led by the poor. Many legislators do, too,

because it would deprive them of a large pool of patronage jobs.

○ Alckmin

○ Bolsonaro

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