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documents. Only one thing Benter ever told me turned out

to be untrue. It was at the outset of our conversations, when

he said he didn’t think I’d ind anything interesting to write

about in his career.

enter grew up in a Pittsburgh idyll called

Pleasant Hills. He was a diligent student and

an Eagle Scout, and he began to study phys-

ics in college. His parents had always given him

freedom—on vacations, he’d hitchhiked across

Europe to Egypt and driven through Russia—and in 1979, at

age 22, he put their faith to the test. He left school, boarded a

Greyhound bus, and went to play cards in Las Vegas.

Benter had been enraptured by

Beat the Dealer

, a 1962 book

by math professor Edward Thorp that describes how to over-

come the house’s advantage in blackjack. Thorp is credited

with inventing the system known as card counting: Keep track

of the number of high cards dealt, then bet big when it’s likely

that high cards are about to fall. It takes concentration, and lots

of hands, to turn a tiny advantage into a proit, but it works.

Thorp’s book was a beacon for shy young men with a

gift for mathematics and a yearning for a more interesting

life. When Benter got to Las Vegas, he worked at a 7-Eleven

for $3 an hour and took his wages to budget casinos. The

Western—with its dollar cocktails and shabby patrons getting

drunk at 10 a.m.—and the faded El Cortez were his turf. He

didn’t mind the scruf. It thrilled him to see scientiic prin-

ciples play out in real life, and he liked the hedonistic city’s

eccentric characters. It was the era of peak disco, with Donna

Summer and Chic’s

Le Freak

all over the radio. On a good day,

Benter might win only about $40, but he’d found his métier—

and some new friends. Fellow Thorp acolytes were easy to

spot on casino loors, tending to be conspicuously focused

and sober. Like them, Benter was a complete nerd. He had

a small beard, wore tweedy jackets, and talked a lot about

probability theory.

In 1980 he’d just applied for a job as a night cleaner at

McDonald’s when his buddies introduced him to the man

who would change his life. Alan Woods was the leader of

an Australian card-counting team that had recently arrived

in Las Vegas. Woods was then in his mid-30s, with a swoop

of gray hair and cold blue eyes. Once an insurance actu-

ary with a wife and two kids, he’d decided one day that

family life wasn’t for him and began traveling the world as

an itinerant gambler.

Woods impressed Benter with his tales of fearlessness,

recounting how he’d sneaked past airport security in Manila

with $10,000 stufed into his underwear. Most appealing, he

pursued the card counter’s craft with discipline. His team

pooled its cash and divided winnings equitably. Having more

players reduced the risk of a run of bad luck wiping out one’s

bankroll, and the camaraderie ofset the solitary nature of the

work. Benter joined the squad.

Within six weeks, he found himself playing blackjack in

Monte Carlo, served by waiters in dinner jackets. He felt like

James Bond, and his earnings grew to a rate of about $80,000

a year. Benter abandoned any idea of returning to college.

When his mother’s friends in Pittsburgh asked how his stud-

ies were going, she told them, “Bill’s traveling right now.”

Benter and his teammates got a house in the Vegas sub-

urbs, living like geeky college fraternity brothers. Woods

strictly forbade drinking on the job, so the men would wait

until after their shifts to knock back beers and trade stories

of scrapes with casino security, who were constantly on the

lookout for card counting. Bull-necked pit bosses patrolled

the loors. A suspicious player would be told to leave or,

worse, backroomed: interrogated in a dingy oice. There

were rumors of counters being beaten and drugged. Benter

thought the treatment was unjustiied. He wasn’t a cheat. He

just played smart.

After a couple of years, Benter was playing quietly at the

Maxim one day when a meaty hand descended on his shoul-

der. “Come with me,” said a burly guy in a suit. In the back,

Benter was shoved into a chair and told to produce some

identiication. He refused. The guard walked out, and an even

more menacing guy walked in: “Show me your f---ing ID!”

Benter got out his wallet.

Afterward—it was probably 1984—Benter, Woods, and some

of their partners earned a place in the Griin Book, a black-

list that a detective agency circulated to casinos. On top of the

indignity of having their mug shots next to hustlers and pick-

pockets, the notoriety made it almost impossible for them to

keep playing in Vegas. They needed to ind another game.

Woods knew there were giant horse-betting pools to tap

in Asia—and that the biggest of all was run by the Hong Kong

Jockey Club. Begun in 1884 as a refuge for upper-crust Brits

who wanted a stretch of England’s green and pleasant land

in their subtropical colony, the club changed over time into

a state gambling monopoly. Its two courses, Happy Valley

and Sha Tin, were packed twice a week during a racing sea-

son that extended from September to July. Hong Kong’s pop-

ulation was then only about 5.5 million, but it bets more on

horses than the entire U.S., reaching about $10 billion annu-

ally by the 1990s.

Hong Kong racing uses a parimutuel (also known as “total-

izer”) system. Unlike odds in a Vegas sportsbook, which are set

in advance and give a decisive edge to the house, parimutuel

odds are updated luidly, in proportion to how bettors wager.

Winners split the pool, and the house skims a commission of

about 17 percent. (After costs, the Jockey Club’s take goes to

charity and the state, providing as much as a tenth of Hong

Kong’s tax revenue.) To make money, Benter would have to

do more than pick winners: He needed to make bets with a

proit margin greater than the club’s 17 percent cut.

He went to the Gambler’s Book Club, a Vegas institution,

and bought everything he could ind on horses. There were

lots of “systems” promising incredible results, but to him they

seemed limsy, written by journalists and amateur handicap-

pers. Few contained real math. Benter wanted something

more rigorous, so he went to the library at the University of

64

Bloomberg Businessweek

May 14, 2018